In February, job openings remained close to a four-year low, indicating a gradual cooling of the labor market. According to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, there were 7.57 million open positions at the end of February, down from 7.76 million in January. This level of job openings has not been seen since early 2021 and is the lowest since September of the previous year.
Economists were expecting the report to show 7.66 million job openings in February, a slight decrease from the January figures which were initially reported at 7.74 million but later revised higher. In light of the data, investors are monitoring economic growth for any signs of further slowdown.
Despite the slight cooling in labor market conditions, the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its stance on interest rates, considering the job market stable enough to withstand unchanged interest rates as it monitors inflation progress. As of Tuesday, investors predict a 66% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by the end of its June meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) also reported 5.4 million hires made in February, slightly up from 5.39 million in January, with a flat hiring rate of 3.4%. However, the quits rate, an indicator of worker confidence, dropped to 2% from 2.1% the previous month, remaining near decade lows.
Economists warn that the labor market could face challenges if layoffs increase while job growth remains modest. Recent surveys show consumer sentiment regarding the labor market is declining, with concerns about rising unemployment rates. The Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing employment index fell to 44.7% in February, the lowest level since September 2024, further indicating potential challenges ahead for the job market.